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Friday's Free Pick - Sacramento Kings +13
The Thunder are getting a little too much respect here considering they have defeated the Kings by more than 13 points just once in the past five meetings.

The Kings have lost back-to-back games both SU and ATS since winning three in a row, but they didn't have leading scorer and rebounder DeMarcus Cousins in their most recent contest (missed due to suspension). It bodes well for Sacramento that Cousins is expected to return to the lineup since he has been a handful for Oklahoma City. He had 32 points in the Kings' most recent matchup with Oklahoma City, and they only lost that game on the road by eight points.

It is also worth noting that road underdogs of 10 or more points that have failed to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games, provided they have won just 25.0 to 40.0% of their games and are matched up against a team that has a winning record, are 146-90 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs of 12.3 points on average but have lost by just 10.7 points on average.

In addition, the Kings are on an impressive 16-5 ATS run in road games versus top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 9.0 points or more per game. They have lost to these teams on average but only by 7.2 points. Bet the Kings.
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