Rather an interpretation than just a simple link: A recent study has projected that Moore's Law in its simple form may be coming to an end around 2020, resting our hopes of future progress in productivity on 3D stacking. Manufacturing and engineering questions aside, the study identifies yet another roadblock: Energy consumption.
"The world's computing infrastructure already uses a significant slice of the world's power, and the ITRS says the current trajectory is self-limiting: by 2040 (…) computing will need more electricity than the world can produce."
One of the conclusions we may draw from this is that the standard procedure of adding abstraction in software and paying for it by an upgrade cycle in hardware may be foreseeably doomed. (Take that, web frameworks.) So, we may want to consider some techniques of old, of how to address complex tasks in more low level ways suiting a more humble hardware in order to free computing resources. Software archeology, rather than another hardware initiative, may be a "king's road" to future improvements …
[Edit] Here's the paper, "Reebooting the IT Revolution: A Call to Action" (Sep. 2015), based on a workshop held March 30–31, 2015:
IEEE Spectrum source: http://spectrum.ieee.org/tech-talk/computing/hardware/transistors-will-stop-shrinking-in-2021-moores-law-roadmap-predicts
Apologies if this seems like commercial spam -- it's not; I'm just on the fence as to whether or not to do a new podcast in what seems like a crowded niche. Still, there aren't any dedicated specifically to the 1980's IBM PC, so there's that.
Also, feel free to share this to anyone I may have missed. Thanks!
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