What do people think of whether we're at risk of overpromise and underdeliver in tech? At this point, we've promised self driving cars, drone package delivery to your home, private companies flying to asteroids and planets, immersive virtual reality, human-level conversations with artificial intelligences, and robot servants, all within the next 0-2 years. I don't mean to diminish the achievements -- especially in speech and image recognition -- and I'm all for BHAGs, but, well, aren't we at risk of turning success into failure with these kinds of promises, much like AI in the 1980s?
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- I could add fully automated physical stores (with no checkout) and medical diagnosis from a drop of blood to the list of promises.20w
- I don't think people will be too displeased to see jobs taken by robots occur at a slower pace than expected.20w
- Deep learning might end up disappointing if they fail to deliver progress... But stuff like VR, wearables, ubiquitous computing... it works already so it can only deliver given a bit of time. This being said, I'm deeply worried about deep learning stalling...20w