Google wants not only to reinvent the car but to replace the whole idea of driving
The next stage of Auto Industry will be a paradigm shift as an ultimate driverless machine rather than a marginal gain.
Automakers are taking an incremental approach, where they let the car drive itself in the situations it can handle and turn control back over to the human driver when the car encounters something it can't handle. Google says that won't work, and has data to prove it. The problem is that the carmakers' approach requires that the human "driver" remain ready and alert at all times, doing all of the mental work of driving so that if called upon to take over they know what's
going on and what needs to be done. Given how many people don't pay adequate attention to their driving even when they are in sole control of the vehicle, this is clearly insane.
Google tested it by giving 100 employees semi-automated cars and then recording the results. Even though the employees knew the technology was a prototype, as soon as they saw it working well they immediately put far too much confidence in it, proceeding to ignore the road for large amounts of time. These employees were skilled engineers with a deep understanding of automation and much better able to judge what the car can or cannot do than the general population.and their judgment terrified the skilled engineers who built the vehicles. That is why it is extremely tough to get from incremental improvement to full self-driving.
So, +Google Self-Driving Car Project
believes in an all or nothing approach: either the car must be able to handle the job entirely on its
own or it's not ready for real-world deployment. At a minimum, if the car encounters a situation it can't handle it must be able to give the human driver plenty of notice before he or she has to take over. Expecting the driver to be ready to take over at any instant simply will not work.
Of course, what's even better is if we simply remove human driving from the equation entirely. Get the car to the point where it can really handle anything that can come up, and remove the human controls. That is what Google is working towards.
Google is attempting autonomy in city driving, a challenge, at a different order of magnitude from what +BMW
and most of the rest are aiming for. In some ways this is primarily a mapping challenge. There is a kind of ambitious genius in what Google is aiming for – and of course the implications, positive and negative, are debatable – but the spirit of it seems to go against the grain of what people are ready for. #selfdrivingcar #driverless #driverlesscars #yearnandlearn