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Daniel Tobias
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Daniel Tobias

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Best analysis of the political system I've seen. Changed my perspective.
Republicans and Democrats of 2016 have neither intelligible boundaries nor enforceable norms. As a result, renegade political behavior pays.
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This is the best recommendation for reading "Atlas Shrugged" by Ayn Rand I've read in a while. It's a great read and not at all what detractors think.
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Daniel Tobias

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President Eisenhower's Warning Of Military Expansion, 50 Years Later

"In the councils of government, we must guard against the acquisition of unwarranted influence, whether sought or unsought, by the military-industrial complex. The potential for the disastrous rise of misplaced power exists, and will persist. We must never let the weight of this combination endanger our liberties or democratic processes. We should take nothing for granted. Only an alert and knowledgeable citizenry can compel the proper meshing of the huge industrial and military machinery of defense with our peaceful methods and goals so that security and liberty may prosper together."


http://www.npr.org/2011/01/17/132942244/ikes-warning-of-military-expansion-50-years-later
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The Trade Deficit Isn’t a Scorecard, and Cutting It Won’t Make America Great Again http://nyti.ms/22QZrIk
Trying to eliminate the trade deficit could mean giving up levers of power that allow the U.S. to get its way in international politics.
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St. Louis Fed: Negative labor trends pre-date the Great Recession

https://twitter.com/stlouisfed/status/693109013471457280?s=09
Read about negative labor trends that pre-date the Great Recession http://bit.ly/1PYhkfK · Embedded image. 8:30 AM - 29 Jan 2016. 4 Retweets4 Likes. Reply to @stlouisfed. Home · Sign up · Log in · Search · About. Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as ...
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Hope we're adding to the strategic oil reserves at these prices... 
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It would be a good investment. I don't think our government is that smart
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Daniel Tobias

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The Federal Reserve should monitor systemic exposure across the banking industry for each asset type (real estate, auto loans, credit cards, small business loans, stocks, etc) and require extra cash reserves from banks based on their exposure to asset types with high systemic exposure. So the Federal Reserve does not try to determine the risk associated with an asset type, it simply monitors how widely held it is within the banking sector. For example, if an individual bank is highly exposed to auto loans, that wouldn't require extra cash reserves unless the banking sector in general were also highly exposed to auto loans. If auto loan exposure were systemic, extra cash reserves would be required from each bank based on their respective auto loan exposure. 
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Hey that's me +NY Times​
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I agree with regards to the UK. With Greece though, it's a bit more complicated. Lenders tend not to trust the currency of small countries and they would likely have insisted that Greece issue debt in Euros. That would limit Greece's ability to devalue their own currency because it would increase the value of their debt load. Devaluing would also increase the cost of imports, which Greece is highly dependent on. I agree though with regards to the UK.
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Let's talk about sesame street 
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Thoughts on Europe:

Create European standards for social programs that at least 2/3 of European countries approve of. Fund those programs with European taxes and Euro bonds. If a country wants to provide additional social support for their citizens, they can fund it themselves with their own taxes and bonds. But country-specific bonds aren't guaranteed by the rest of Europe. In fact, it needs to be illegal to bailout a country. This needs to be explicitly clear and iron clad. It's important that investors believe their investment is at risk so that they demand an appropriate interest rate. This way, if a country is reckless with their finances, investors will demand a higher interest rate. The discipline imposed by high interest rates is automatically enforced. Government has no choice but to cut spending and/or raise taxes when investors stop lending. Hopefully the fear of this automatic austerity prevents reckless spending.

If a country does find itself in a situation where investors refuse to lend, or demand rates that are unpayable, and government is forced to cut spending and/or raise taxes, at least there is some social support provided by Europe that should prevent a humanitarian crises.

The key, again, is that investors believe their investment is at risk (these bailouts aren't helping). That means it is illegal to bailout countries, and a country can declare bankruptcy and restructure their debts in bankruptcy court, without being forced to leave the Euro.
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Three years later...
 
Predictions:

Greece leaves euro.
Markets free fall.
Greece pegs new currency to euro and slowly depreciates it.
Germany agrees to euro bonds and closer integration, asap.
Markets recover.
World goes on.

Only sure about the last two. 
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Four years later. Replace Greece with Britain...
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Have him in circles
174 people
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New York
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Deal, New Jersey
Daniel Tobias's +1's are the things they like, agree with, or want to recommend.
Brooklyn, NY - Physical Therapist
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Physical therapist in Brooklyn, NY. Personal, one-on-one care provided by a Doctor of Physical Therapy at our Brooklyn office. Home visits a

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Public - in the last week
reviewed in the last week
Cool atmosphere. I like to sit at the bar,plenty of seating though. Goods apps.
Public - 4 months ago
reviewed 4 months ago
Live music, food trucks, drinks, happy and fun people. Great time.
Public - 4 months ago
reviewed 4 months ago
Food is good. Atmosphere is nice. Expect to wait twenty minutes for a table on Sundays.
Public - 5 months ago
reviewed 5 months ago
21 reviews
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Bottomless brunch. Unlimited mimosas, beer or sangria. Food's pretty good too.
Public - 4 months ago
reviewed 4 months ago
Love this place. Great food. Relaxed atmosphere.
Public - 5 months ago
reviewed 5 months ago
Always crowded but for a reason! Food is great.
Public - 5 months ago
reviewed 5 months ago