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Dan Eastwood
Works at Medical College of Wisconsin
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Dan Eastwood

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I want one. don't know why, I just do.

Found here: http://www.improbable.com/2016/09/27/the-long-tail-of-machine-design/
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Conveniently, there's a link to schematics and code in the video description. http://leyanda.de/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=11

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Dan Eastwood

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“In the first stage of review, the manuscript will be 'accepted in principle' based on the rationale and methods only,” Liz Bal, associate publisher at BioMed Central, which publishes BMC Psychology, said in the statement. “These manuscripts will then be reviewed again by the same reviewers but with the omitted sections visible. At that stage, the decision to publish can only be revoked if the results and discussion deviate unjustifiably from the stated aims and methods. We believe that this could help reduce publication bias by basing the decision to publish purely on the scientific rigor of the study design.”
An open-access journal is trialing a peer-review process in which reviewers do not have access to the results or discussion sections of submitted papers.
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I can imagine this being a very easy system to game. In theory you might write up your methods and objectives and submit them before doing the study. In practise people will already have done the experiment and then simply tailor their reported methodology to fit the results. I don't know about psychology, but in observational astronomy the results turn out to be so different from the stated objectives in the observing proposal I almost wonder why we bother with the proposals at all.

Most of the time - not a small fraction, an actual majority, it's a case of "we went looking for X, but we found Y... Y is genuinely very interesting, but no need to mention we were actually looking for X". And usually there really, honestly isn't any need to mention X, because X turns out to have absolutely no relevance at all.

I agree with +Paul M that the poor state of peer review is largely exaggerated, though I can't speak for any field besides observational astronomy. It's true that it's not perfect. But it can't be perfect, because frontline research is not like junior school science. It doesn't have perfect answers that rational people will agree on. The only essential requirement of peer review is that is cuts out the blatantly false and fraudulent. When people don't understand this, it's easy to see why they don't trust science when peer reviewed results get overturned all the time.
http://astrorhysy.blogspot.cz/2016/04/whos-afraid-of-big-bad-reviewer.html

However, what does worry me is the "publish or perish" culture. Problem is that all papers are created equal in the sight of external evaluators (funding agencies, institutions looking for new hires, etc.). I suggest that one solution might be for the journals to categorise the research and/or the level of review rigour. It would make it a lot easier to see at a glance what sort of research a scientists actually does and discourage (not eliminate) the publication of quick, easy papers which don't actually get us anywhere.
https://plus.google.com/+RhysTaylorRhysy/posts/LfJxdkdhcz2

We could also insist that the exchanges between authors and reviewers be made public (even if the identity of the reviewer is kept secret). But, above all, we need to be clear to people what peer review is, what it's for, and what it's not supposed to do.
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Dan Eastwood

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For Your Information
 
An interesting interview with CLAUDE E. SHANNON Conducted by Robert Price on 28 July 1982 (http://ethw.org/Oral-History:Claude_E._Shannon). Cannot make quotes because of copyrights. Shannon mentioned in this interview that problem-solving, rather than concern with the work of his contemporaries, drove his research process. 

From the Wikipedia (https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Claude_Shannon): 

"1932, Shannon entered the University of Michigan, where he took a course that introduced him to the work of George Boole. He graduated in 1936 with two bachelor's degrees, one in electrical engineering and one in mathematics. He soon began his graduate studies in electrical engineering at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), where he worked on Vannevar Bush's differential analyzer, an early analog computer.
While studying the complicated ad hoc circuits of the differential analyzer, Shannon saw that Boole's concepts had great utility. A paper drawn from his 1937 master's degree thesis, A Symbolic Analysis of Relay and Switching Circuits,was published in the 1938 issue of the Transactions of the American Institute of Electrical Engineers. It also earned Shannon the Alfred Noble American Institute of American Engineers Award in 1939. Howard Gardner called Shannon's thesis "possibly the most important, and also the most famous, master's thesis of the century."
Victor Shestakov of the Moscow State University, had proposed a theory of systems of electrical switches based on Boolean logic earlier than Shannon in 1935, but the first publication of Shestakov's result was in 1941, after the publication of Shannon's thesis in the United States.
In this work, Shannon proved that his switching circuits could be used to simplify the arrangement of the electromechanicalrelays that were used then in telephone call routing switches. Next, he expanded this concept; proving that these circuits could solve all problems that Boolean algebra could solve. In the last chapter he diagrams several circuits, including a 4-bit full adder. This is the central circuit in all digital computers.
Using this property of electrical switches to implement logic is the fundamental concept that underlies all electronic digital computers. Shannon's work became the foundation of digital circuit design; as it became widely known in the electrical engineering community during and after World War II. The theoretical rigor of Shannon's work superseded the ad hoc methods that had prevailed previously.
Through the Carnegie Institution, Vannevar Bush suggested that Shannon, emboldened by his master's thesis success, should work on his dissertation at the Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, in order to develop similar mathematical relationships for quantifying Mendelian genetics. This research resulted in Shannon's doctor of philosophy (Ph.D.) thesis at MIT in 1940, called An Algebra for Theoretical Genetics.
In 1940, Shannon became a National Research Fellow at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, New Jersey. In Princeton, Shannon had the opportunity to discuss his ideas with influential scientists and mathematicians such as Hermann Weyl and John von Neumann, and he also had occasional encounters with Albert Einstein and Kurt Gödel. Shannon worked freely across disciplines, and this ability may have contributed to his later development of mathematical Information Theory."

Did he share the Nobel price with Victor Shestakov? 



https://www.google.com/doodles/claude-shannons-100th-birthday
Claude Shannon's 100th birthday #GoogleDoodle
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Dan Eastwood

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Bittersweet. My Dad and loved to stay up late to watch MP when I was a teen. This same disease is what ended him.
 
Crap. I'm sad.
Terry Jones no longer able to give interviews
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Very sad, my grandmother had alzheimer's it is a horrible way to end life. I am sorry for your loss +Dan Eastwood
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Better than p!
P values are the most commonly used tool to measure evidence against a hypothesis. Several attempts have been made to transform P values to minimum Bayes factors and minimum posterior probabilities of the hypothesis under consideration. However, the acceptance of such calibrations in clinical fields is low due to inexperience in interpreting Bayes factors and the need to specify a prior probability to derive a lower bound on the posterior probabi...
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A related comment from statistician James Berger: http://ssgac.org/documents/p-value-comments.pdf
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Dan Eastwood

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All those who, Wander is not lost.

H/T +Winchell Chung
 
It was found in a small mailbox, just west of a white house.
Wander was possibly the first program for creating text-adventure games. Once thought lost, it has now been found.
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Dan Eastwood

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(Big) Bird is The Word
 
There is a further comment here, starting with Actually, I want to point something out here
and ending with Do not. Fuck. With. Big Bird.
http://edderkopper.tumblr.com/post/142827475034/against-big-bird-the-gods-themselves-contend-in
Scott Lynch: “ I was a hard-core Sesame Street viewer from about 1979 to 1984, and my memories of the show are the sort of deep nostalgic tangle you’d expect, with a great deal of idiosyncratic noise...
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interesting presumption, but the thinking is a stretch.. his innocent mind is trying to help a friend, and he actually helps by offering a feather for the final trial and the riddle answer would have evaded the small spirit, because it was a roman word/concept, the "museum"

"where does the past meat the present" was the riddle
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Dan Eastwood

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More dead cats?
 
Game theory is a branch of mathematics that looks at how groups solve complex problems. The Schrödinger equation is the foundational equation of quantum mechanics - the area of physics focused on the smallest particles in the Universe. There’s no...
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Dan Eastwood

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A man after my own heart.
This article is about basic probability, dice, and statistics in D&D and other RPGs. I love this s$&% and I think it’s important and useful to understand. So, let’s use math to …
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Dan Eastwood

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How A 'Sixth Sense' Helps Simone Biles Fly, And The Rest Of Us Walk

+Deb Eastwood will want to see this.
Scientists are finally beginning to understand proprioception, a sense that tells us where our body is in space. Much of what they've learned comes from two girls with a rare genetic disorder.
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Cool, I know Carsten Bonnemann! Great guy. 
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Dan's Collections
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"Information itself has a liberal bias." - Steven Colbert, 28NOV2006
Introduction
A Wyoming kid transplanted to America's Dairyland. I miss the mountains. I love real winter and snow; it's so clean, clear, and everything I'm allergic to is dead. By day I crunch numbers for research, by night I write or paint or play games or other fun stuff as time allows. 
My G+ goal: to share a few really good things every day --> Low volume but high signal. I tend to follow those who do the same.

In my spare time (ha!) I write blogs about the mathematics of games (Giant Battling Robots) and (sometimes) funny sciency-politicsy-stuff (Dread Tomato Addiction). I am Righteously Agnostic and a Skeptical Humanist.

Some of my circles. Interact to be added.
Game Design
Gardening 
Free Thinkers
Mad Science! (Science, heavy on math and stats)
Jazz Music 
Persons of Interest (if I don't know where else to put you)

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The views expressed on G+, my blogs, comments, or lunatic raving anywhere are entirely fictional, and are not intended to represent the views of any employer or person, living, living-dead, mostly-dead all day, or dead-dead. Any resemblance to reality is not my responsibility.
Bragging rights
Husband, father, games hobbyist, gardener, bicyclist, skier, blogger, miniature painter, omelette-chef, Monty Python pundit, protist partisan, nonphilatelist. My Dad co-invented MULTICS scripts. My Erdős-Eastwood number is 4+2i*Pi
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Biostatistician
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SAS programming, statistical design and analysis, putting things on top of other things.
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  • Medical College of Wisconsin
    Biostatistician, 1999 - present
Dan Eastwood's +1's are the things they like, agree with, or want to recommend.
Reviewing Results-Free Manuscripts
www.the-scientist.com

An open-access journal is trialing a peer-review process in which reviewers do not have access to the results or discussion sections of subm

Probability for Dumm… for Gamers
theangrygm.com

This article is about basic probability, dice, and statistics in D&D and other RPGs. I love this s$&% and I think it’s important and useful

A nomogram for P values
bmcmedresmethodol.biomedcentral.com

P values are the most commonly used tool to measure evidence against a hypothesis. Several attempts have been made to transform P values to

There is Grandeur in This View of Life....
grandeurviewlife.blogspot.com

Purgatorius may be from Hell Creek, but it's currently in Limbo: Why it is so difficult to place early members of a group on the Tree of Lif

Stephen King Compares Donald Trump To Cthulhu; Cthulhu Issues Angry Deni...
www.huffingtonpost.com

The Great Old One objects to being compared to the GOP presidential candidate.

Tone Analyzer Service Documentation | Watson Developer Cloud
www.ibm.com

Overview of the Watson™ Tone Analyzer Service. The IBM Watson™ Tone Analyzer Service uses linguistic analysis to detect three types of tones

The cure for pseudoscience: alternative medicine - The Panda's Thumb
pandasthumb.org

I just saw my colleague Paul Strode, with whom I wrote a book a few years ago. Knowing my interest in pseudoscience, Mr. Dr. Science Teacher

It’s Bayes All The Way Up
slatestarcodex.com

[Epistemic status: Very speculative. I am not a neuroscientist and apologize for any misinterpretation of the papers involved. Thanks to the

feedly: organize, read and share what matters to you.
feedly.com

Feedly connects you to the information and knowledge you care about. We help you get more out of you work, education, hobbies and interests.

Using waste water to flush out drug dealers
www.nature.com

Assessing the contents of the toilet bowl in the name of crime prevention.

Four Dice Pool Systems All Gamers Should Know
mythcreants.com

In my last post, I talked about dice pool systems and why you might use them. With the basics explained, it’s time to examine a few specific

Lessons From the Vivid Writing of Lovecraft’s Dagon
mythcreants.com

Howard Phillips Lovecraft is a major influence on the cosmic horror genre, to the point that it’s often called Lovecraftian horror. The man

Andy Borowitz
www.newyorker.com

The President bristled at the suggestion that paying Mexico to keep Trump was “reverse ransom” and an extravagant use of taxpayer money.

http://www.newyorker.com/humor/borowitz-report/trump-bolsters-foreign-po...
www.newyorker.com

“When that 3 A.M. call comes in, and Mr. Trump is busy on Twitter, Dr. Carson and Governor Palin will be there.”

co.combinatorics - Pursuit-Evasion type game on graph ("Flyswatter game"...
mathoverflow.net

An instance of the "flyswatter game" is defined by a graph $G$ and positive integer $k$. There are two players, A (the 'fly') and B (the 'sw

Fractured Lands: How the Arab World Came Apart
www.nytimes.com

The story of more than a decade of war, terror and revolution in the Middle East, seen through the eyes of six people whose lives were chang

CRISPR's hopeful monsters: gene-editing storms evo-devo labs
www.nature.com

Easy gene alterations in weird creatures make CRISPR a killer app for evolutionary developmental biology.

Integrating Horizontal Gene Transfer and Common Descent to Depict Evolut...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Previous article in issue: Using Protistan Examples to Dispel the Myths of Intelligent Design. Previous article in issue: Using Protistan Ex

Wonderful! We had the fresh fruit crepes and veg out omelette, and they were fantastic.
Public - a year ago
reviewed a year ago
Passing through town and stopped here for lunch. Great food, friendly service, and very reasonable prices. If I lived here, I'd come here every week. :-)
Public - a year ago
reviewed a year ago
"NOW is when you make progress", is something Jeremy often says to encourage us to push ourselves harder as we approach the end of a workout, but it's pretty good advice in general. I used to be in great shape, and I thought I knew what I was doing, but after rather half-heartedly trying to get back in shape for years I just wasn't having any success. My wife asked me to come along to visit her exercise boot camp for a charity workout, and I just joined up right away. This has really been the boost I needed to get moving again. I've relearned exercises and routines more appropriate to my age, gotten in with a high-energy group that I really enjoy, and I'm making the progress that I could not do by myself. So give it a try; NOW is always a good time. :-) A word about costs. If I wanted to do workouts like Jeremy's all on my own, I would probably need a gym membership, some regular time with a personal trainer, maybe a dietitian, and 3-4 hours of time out of my busy week. That adds up to quite a bit. Also, by getting fit I am saving myself a lot of potential health troubles (and bills!) down the road, and enjoying life more while I'm at it. Jeremy is a professional and very serious about helping people get fit, and I don't mind paying for his service. The way I see it, I'm getting a bargain.
• • •
Public - 6 years ago
reviewed 6 years ago
4 reviews
Map
Map
Map
We ate at the West Bay Diner twice while on vacation recently, and really enjoyed it. The atmosphere was great, and the food was excellent. The salad bar, though small, was well stocked, and it was a one of the reasons we went back a second time. Today I found myself wishing I could have another of their fresh baked cookies, and actually pondering the 7-hour drive to get some. Maybe next year!
Quality: ExcellentAppeal: ExcellentService: Excellent
Public - 4 years ago
reviewed 4 years ago