A piece I wrote for my crew at.
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- I think the critical question to answer is, 'What is a signal anyway?' ccJul 4, 2013
- My first thought is that a signal is a neme that leads to exchange. It could be internal or external exchange. Also there are false signals and "true" signals. The implication is that signal can only be seen from the view point of the receiver. If one doesn't know what one is looking for, it's all noise. When one does know what one is looking one can read the signals with a bit of practice using whatever technology is available.
Think that helps?
nice piece of writing...Jul 4, 2013
- imho, a good signal is one that reflects the dynamics of a system (for example an organization) which in turn indicates possible failures that might disrupt the smooth/desired functioning of a system. Even overall signals might be good enough. Else, as usual, most managers and executives would rely on their intuition and haunches, which again are not usually wrong. Good signals possibly help managers to anticipate something and plan for an eventuality before it becomes too disturbing. A signal that does not fulfill such criteria might only be noise ccAug 18, 2013
- Thank you for your comment. It's amazing to me that so little of the conversation is focused on risk assessment rather than opportunity. The irony is for C-Level people Risk is what "keeps them up at night." I said " If one doesn't know what one is looking for, it's all noise. " The fact is one is looking for first and foremost is the Risk of something going wrong. Either in personal life or at management of business.
This morning I found an article about the global capital markets. I don't pretend to deeply understand it, but it gives a window on how players look at risk. The point is very very small daily and weekly changes are the signals are always noticed.
"Look for the CAD1.0275 area (near the 100-day moving average ~CAD1.0285) to stem the US dollar selling pressure, while the CAD1.0380-CAD1.0400 may cap gains."
If you are interested the link http://seekingalpha.com/article/1641752-noise-to-signal-increases?source=email_macro_view&ifp=0Aug 18, 2013