Profile

Cover photo
Dan Bowtell
Works at Infectious Media
Attended Academy of Contemporary Music
110 followers|319,065 views
AboutPostsPhotosYouTube+1'sReviews

Stream

 
Adjusting the height slider for 1-swipe region turns the word height into width
1
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
1
Mike Morwood's profile photo
 
Interesting and historical! 
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Watch right to the end 
1
Mike Morwood's profile photo
 
That's one of the funniest things I've ever, ever seen
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Movember done
1
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Surprise find on my twitter feed... he finally managed to get some new material together rather than just doing that teaching thing.
1
Add a comment...
Have him in circles
110 people
Violet Bowtell's profile photo
Hemant Malhotra's profile photo
Adriano Accardo's profile photo
Dewey Northington's profile photo
Charles John's profile photo
Sarah Corney's profile photo
Marjolijn Keizer's profile photo
Elizabeth Fox's profile photo
Keith Wilson's profile photo

Communities

13 communities

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Is the face of gambling being changed by big data?

This post by +Bohdan Pavlyshenko shows that with just one days worth of data he was able to predict the winner, and having identified some flaws with his initial algorithm, has refinements that would have shown the top few places.

The US election was also incredibly accurately predicted by Nate Silver. In fact, using sentiment analysis and some well refined algorithms there probably aren't many voted for events that couldn't be predicted a day in advance unless the result is really to choose to call, or as in Eurovision there are confounded, such as long standing political feuds, that could cause people to vote against their true opinion.
2
1
Bohdan Pavlyshenko's profile photo
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
A fundamental misunderstanding of probabilities in this article. The odds of having a baby are not the 1 in 365 as you don't randomly conceive. If you are consciously trying for a baby at the end of March your odds probably go down to around 1 in 50ish. Knowing that your second baby is due around the same time is going to make it more likely that it actually comes on Christmas day. If it's ready to come very late Christmas eve you could delay of to Christmas day.

Given that the real odds would come out much nearer 1 in 2,400; still unlikely but not anywhere near the 1 in 133,225 chance the bookmaker in the article says. 
1
Mike Morwood's profile photoRichard Coupe's profile photoDan Bowtell's profile photo
4 comments
 
There really aren't that many variables though. If it was the chance of having two babies on Christmas day in 2 consecutive years there would be more variables but the only limit on this is 2 consecutive children. This means that you can get a very high confidence that the child will be born in a 50 day window given attempted conception at a certain time of year. If that fails you just wait a year and try again.

The 1 in 2,400 only applies from the starting position of no babies. Once she had that first baby the odds that her second baby came on Christmas day, assuming that they want it, is only around 1 in 50. If you're a newspaper editor wanting to run rubbish stories like this then just find 50 pregnant women, who already have a Christmas baby and have said they want another. I reckon you could probably run the same article every year with different names.
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Snoop Lion's musical guilty pleasure... KPOP, ya dig.
watup. here comes the king live on the ggn set. takn some time out to answer your questions. ask me anything jacc!! http://twitter.com/SnoopDogg/s...
1
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Does anyone fancy donating a bit of cash to a good cause? I've got a smudge on my face that will only go away at the end of the month if you donate, otherwise I'm going to be scaring children forever. http://mobro.co/badstashes 
3
1
Mike Morwood's profile photoRichard Coupe's profile photo
 
That looks weirdly sophisticated... maybe it's the fact that it's in black and white... +Jenny Cooley ?
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Where do people sell stuff these days? I'm trying to sell a banjo and it seems like it just won't sell, at least not for a remotely sane price.

ebay is no good for things that are a bit niche but valuable. I've had a couple of things that have not sold, even for significantly less than what they're worth. The listing fees are pretty expensive as well when there just aren't the buyers around.

gumtree has an unfathomable add listing page that seems to not want to let me post listings. It's just plain broken.

The other problem with ebay and gumtree is you get drowned out almost instantly meaning very few people get to see your listing.

craiglist seems the most straightforward but as far as I'm aware has a pretty low audience in the UK.

I'm going to hit up some niche sites as well but there must be somewhere mainstream that still works.
1
Mike Morwood's profile photoDan Bowtell's profile photoBen Bowtell's profile photo
3 comments
 
Have you considered old fashioned printed specialist magazines?
Add a comment...

Dan Bowtell

Shared publicly  - 
 
Glowing beats
1
Add a comment...
People
Have him in circles
110 people
Violet Bowtell's profile photo
Hemant Malhotra's profile photo
Adriano Accardo's profile photo
Dewey Northington's profile photo
Charles John's profile photo
Sarah Corney's profile photo
Marjolijn Keizer's profile photo
Elizabeth Fox's profile photo
Keith Wilson's profile photo
Communities
13 communities
Work
Occupation
Director of Technology and Operations
Skills
PPC, Python, HTML, HMTL5, scripting, R, Ruby
Employment
  • Infectious Media
    Director of Technology and Operations, 2015 - present
  • Infectious Media
    Head of TechOps, 2014 - 2015
  • Infectious Media
    Technical Account Manager, 2013 - 2014
  • The Search Agency
    PPC Manager, 2013 - 2013
  • The Search Agency
    Senior Account Executive, 2011 - 2013
Basic Information
Gender
Male
Looking for
Friends, Networking
Other names
Dan, vrih
Apps with Google+ Sign-in
  • 2048 Number Puzzle game
  • Zen Pinball HD
Story
Bragging rights
Been for sale in ASDA
Collections Dan is following
Education
  • Academy of Contemporary Music
    Contemporary Popular Music, 2002 - 2006
  • Eltham College
    1996 - 2001
Links
Dan Bowtell's +1's are the things they like, agree with, or want to recommend.
Shortcuts not working on non-English layouts - i3 FAQ
faq.i3wm.org

Hi, If I change keyboard layout with setxkbmap uk (or any non-English layout) all i3 and all other shortcuts get broken. ...

David Sedaris: Living the Fitbit Life
www.newyorker.com

I look back on the days I averaged only thirty thousand steps, and think, Honestly, how lazy can you get?

Glorybox: Lauren Withrow - Photographer
www.intotheglorybox.com

Christine: London, England, United Kingdom: Life is: sincerity, love, music, soul, good taste, precision, beauty, quality control & mighty f

Track AJAX Link Clicks Using Google Analytics
davidwalsh.name

Obviously since there's no page refresh, Google Analytics doesn't track the form's usage. I changed all that a few days ago, using some simp

Titanium Backup ★ root
market.android.com

☆Needs ROOT, Android 1.5-4.3+ (ARM,x86,MIPS) ☆Over 10 million users, 30+ languages. ☆PRO Key is available on Play Store! ☆Voted #1 TOP ROOT

The Room
market.android.com

Welcome to The Room, a physical puzzler, wrapped in a mystery game, inside a beautifully tactile 3D world.***************** Praise for The R

Aviate Alpha
market.android.com

Aviate automatically categorizes all of your apps, and intelligently rearranges your homescreen throughout the day to dynamically give you t

ROM Manager
market.android.com

ROM Manager is THE MUST HAVE APP for any Android root user. (Over 3 million downloads and counting!)* Flash your recovery to the latest and

Carmageddon
market.android.com

Carmageddon is the original freeform driving sensation, where pedestrians (and cows!) equal points, and your opponents are a bunch of crazie

DeskSMS
desksms.appspot.com

New to DeskSMS? Install the DeskSMS Android application to get started! If you have already installed the application, just log in above to

Twigs - How's That
www.youtube.com

Written & Produced by Arca and Twigs Video by Jesse Kanda http://howsth.at http://twigstwigs.tumblr.com/

Small Luxury Hotels of the World
plus.google.com

An unsurpassed collection of over 520 luxury hotels in more than 70 countries.

Google+
market.android.com

Real-life sharing rethought for the web, wherever you are. Google+ for mobile makes sharing the right things with the right people a lot sim

SwiftKey X Keyboard
market.android.com

Next-generation AI keyboard, now with unrivaled prediction and personalization! SwiftKey X Keyboard is the smartest keyboard on Android, usi

Screen Capture (by Google) - Chrome Web Store
chrome.google.com

Capture visible content of a tab, a region of a web page, or the whole page as a PNG image. Support horizontal and vertical scroll when capt

Gmail
plus.google.com

Sharing news and tips from the Gmail team and friends

All Is Not Lost
www.allisnotlo.st

OKGO x Pilobolus All Is Not Lost - An Interactive Video Dance Messenger with Google Chrome

Google Earth
market.android.com

Explore the world from the palm of your hand with Google Earth. Use Google Earth to fly around the planet with the swipe of a finger. Explor

Public - a year ago
reviewed a year ago
Food: ExcellentDecor: ExcellentService: Excellent
Public - 2 years ago
reviewed 2 years ago
Food: ExcellentDecor: ExcellentService: Excellent
Public - 2 years ago
reviewed 2 years ago
This is the definition of pretentiousness over quality. There are some nearby cafés that are almost as equally self-consciously playing to the hipster ethic. The problem with Monocle is that they just don't back it up with a quality product. The coffee is average at a slightly above average price. The hot chocolate is just plain undrinkable.
Food: Poor - FairDecor: GoodService: Good
Public - 2 years ago
reviewed 2 years ago
108 reviews
Map
Map
Map
Food: Poor - FairDecor: GoodService: Poor - Fair
Public - 2 years ago
reviewed 2 years ago
Food: ExcellentDecor: ExcellentService: Good
Public - 2 years ago
reviewed 2 years ago
The best of the new breed of ramen restaurants in London.
Food: ExcellentDecor: Very GoodService: Very Good
Public - 2 years ago
reviewed 2 years ago