A) A 0.001% of critical side effects and a 0.0001% chance of debilitating illness or death.
B) A better than 60% chance of contracting a life-threatening disease.
Oh, and did I mention that no legitimate peer-reviewed study has yet to link vaccines with Autism?
Seems like a simple choice to me.
I do however agree that people make decisions based on incomplete data.
Incidentally, daylight is actually much bluer, somewhere between 5400K-6500K depending on weather conditions (the real reason the sky is blue).
Oh...for sake of credit due: This is from the showroom at in Chicago
It is the tradition for most candidates to start the campaign trail using an exploratory committee. An Exploratory Committee is a process sanctioned by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to "test the waters" to determine feasibility for a presidential campaign without wasting too much money. It affords a potential candidate some protection, monetary and otherwise. They are permitted to raise some funding, but they are limited. From the would-be candidate's perspective, it's a bit of a shelter: You can find out if you have some public support without getting too far into paperwork or their own bank accounts (or those of their supporters). This is especially true of a currently elected official who intends to continue to practice politics whether or not they follow the path to candidacy. After all, you don't want to waste the money of your constituents if you don't really have a chance.
In an uncommon (but not entirely unprecedented) maneuver, Senator Cruz leapfrogged over the Exploratory Committee process and officially threw his hat into the ring as a candidate for the 2016 election. The election is a long ways off, specifically 594 days (as of this writing).
Is it strategy, arrogance or sheer ignorance?
I'm going to give Senator Cruz the benefit of the doubt and strike ignorance from the list. He's not in this position by accident, and I do believe he fully understands the weight of this decision. As for arrogance, let's just say that it would be nonobjective of me to consider that a factor, especially since it is an immeasurable factor. So we are going to have to assume it's a strategy.
But will it work?
The move is a bold one that puts him in the media spotlight early. On one hand, that could be a good thing as it will rile up the supporters and potentially earn him a good support base early on in the process. In terms of his self-proclaimed grass-roots approach, that is probably a wise move simply because the base needs time to grow before it can gain enough momentum to perpetuate him through the election (which is, again, 594 days away). Based on what I've read and what I have garnered about the man, I do believe that is his strategy.
The strategy is a gamble, however. There are two key aspects of this type of campaign that could work against Mr. Cruz. First is the "stamina factor". Even in a grass-roots campaign, you need supporters that have the ability to carry you through the long haul. Whatever motivates his supporters now is fizzle out by the time election day comes around. Can his support base keep full vigor and maintain enthusiasm for all that time? Some portion of his support base will fall off the bandwagon well before the election; many of which for sheer lack of stamina or a decline in motivation.
The other factor is media hype. For better or for worse, the "news" about Cruz's bid for president will likely have faded before other would-be candidates officially throw their hat into the ring. By the time Rand Paul crunches his data from straw poles as part of his Electoral Committee, by the time Donald Trump inevitably informs the public he won't run, Cruz will have been a thing of the past. Well, not literally. But as everyone is announcing the big news about their own candidacy, Cruz's news will have been reduced to "visiting [some town] to say [some stuff]". That could work for him. While the media is busy trying to dig up facts (or gossip) about the newly announced candidates, Cruz will have been well past that stage and - to be frank - mostly forgotten in that context. But it will likely work against him. Even if the media is slinging mud or running negative press against the other candidates, Cruz will be on the back burner getting little press. Even bad press (for the other candidates) is still keeping their names in the minds of voters; but not Cruz's name.
But here's where I'm most confused about Cruz's strategy: He has no data. Unlike all of the candidates who will have gone through the Exploratory Committee, Cruz has no idea where he stands right now. He doesn't know if he'll have enough of a support base, he doesn't know where he'll get his private funding and he has no idea if he'll get any votes. Without such data, his team has no idea where to focus their efforts to fill in the gaps nor do they have any idea where to start campaigning for money and other resources. In short, Cruz has made an official bid for President while completely in the dark. When other would-be candidates officially make their declarations, they will have all of that data in-hand. And sure, by then, maybe Cruz will as well. But he'll be floundering up until that point, without the protect afforded to him through the Exploratory Committee procedures.
Only time will tell if this is a good strategy or not. I, for one, am curious how this will play out. What do you predict?
Check the facts, because social media won't really do that for you.
I know it's very meta of me to say that here on social media. I do check against many sources before re-posting things. I expect you to do the same. That is my way of saying that I don't expect you to fully trust me either and I won't be offended if you feel the need to fact check me as well.
Sport shooting and hunting aside, I Still have not heard a legitimate argument as to why anyone needs to own or carry a gun.
As a Landscape Architect, I create welcoming and habitable spaces. As a Photographer, I strive to exhibit the beauties of spaces, even if they are traditionally thought of as "ugly". In either case, it is my goal to identify, define and showcase the elements that humans find appealing.
I am the founder and editor of Shutter Photo Magazine which has been a source of inspiration and learning for hobbyist photographers for over three years. Many of my personal photographic works are available for purchase or for licensing - more information can be found at the official D. Travis North Photography website.
- D. Travis North PhotographyPhotographer, 2010 - present
- Shutter Photo MagazineEditor, 2008 - present
- Bohler EngineeringLandscape Architect, Photographer, 2001 - present
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