I completely agree with Martin's statement about the competitive landscape w.r.t Canvas (as your graphs show). I think both Moodle and Sakai see Canvas as something to compete with when it comes to the quality and value of our product offering, but we don't see market share as the primary indicator of success or failure. Commercial companies with large staffs and widely distributed and expensive sales, marketing, and support teams need to be very careful to match revenue with expenses (or raise funds from investors or debt) so small twitches in market share trends loom large to commercial operations (as well as to the larger Moodle and Sakai Commercial Partners) - but open source is more patient. Angel, WebCT, Pearson and others are long gone from the market whilst Sakai and Moodle abide. If you look even more closely you will see that other open source LMSs like ATutor and OLAT also are abiding lo these many years. As resources levels ebb and flow we simply alter our forward velocity. In five years Schoology might be crushing Canvas in your graphs - and Sakai and Moodle with still be there - making the market fair and making sure our faculty/teachers don't need to go through the pain of switching vendors every 3-5 years when their IT department happens on some new VC-funded bright shiny object in the market.
Add a comment...