When it's this close, not much. And those fixed voting machines favor GOP.
Whom do you trust when it comes to election forecasts? Please fill me in:
I think Intrade has to be the most reliable. Where people will put their money is a good indication of what will actually happen. I also generally trust fivethirtyeight. No one was criticizing Nate Silver's model before they knew what result it would predict.
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