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Can't see Google+ killing Twitter or Facebook, but if I were Livejournal, it would be just yet another thing to make me depressed…
Andy Butcher's profile photoShona Ghosh's profile photoNicholas Moore's profile photoAlexander Williams's profile photo
IMO, I think FB is done. They only prospered due to the lack of viable competition.
You could be right - but it will take a lot to overcome the inertia of the vast majority of people for whom Facebook pretty much IS the internet.
I rather doubt that anybody could foresee MySpace going down the tubes either.
That's true. Many teenagers lived in MySpace five years ago - but they're a fickle market. I suspect the 30- and 40-somethings of Facebook will be harder to move.
I moved ... and if there's a definition of "Creature of Habit" in any reference material anywhere it should have my picture beside it.
I think Facebook has more things rooted in the web than MySpace did. Stuff like Facebook Connect and having the like button on tons of websites - you didn't get that kind of reach with MySpace even when it was huge. Which will of course, make it terrifically difficult to shift.
Mind you, you don't see Digg buttons much anymore, and Haloscan comments aren't a staple of blogging any more…
I think that things like buttons are basically a drop-in technology. The same with their obviously astronomical credentialing aspirations. I think FB has one real asset -- everyone is there. It has one problem, it is utterly loathsome in all ways. I don't think they can escape loathsomeness, it's part of their business model, so I think the emergence of a viable competitor will mark their eclipse.
I think Facebook's initial purpose - bringing uni networks online - is still fundamental to its attraction. Having your cohort - the majority of which are geographically close to you - in one online space is a pretty powerful glue. MySpace felt much easier to leave because you were often connecting with strangers, but Facebook feels more like you are cementing real life relationships within this one very structured, pre-defined network. I think that's still very powerful. G+, with its reliance on the user to define multiple, fragmented networks for themselves, feels like a lot more work...
+Geoffrey Grabowski I really hope you're right, because I do feel the loathsome factor of Facebook keenly

+Shona Ghosh My problem is that the Facebook model would have worked well when I was in my 20s with a pretty simple social circle. As I knock on the door of 40, my social spheres are pretty disparate and complex, and Google+ models them more naturally than Facebook does.
I worry about inertia - so far I'd rather use G+, but not yet sure that all the people I actually want to keep in touch will actually stick with it (rather than trying it out then drifting back to FB). Also, I rather suspect that a lot of the stuff that people dislike about FB will make its way to G+ soon enough (app spam, for example...)

Can't help feeling its going to end up fragmenting my time more in the long run - I have enough trouble just keeping an eye on FB and Twitter... =(
Oh yes, posting very much from the perspective of someone who was in their teens when FB came to the UK. At the moment, though, there's a bit of a gap between putting people in the 'correct' Circles, versus how those Circles' streams actually play out in practice. Do you Circle someone by your social connection with them, or what they talk about, or both?
Interesting points. Inertia will be a serious issue. What about my seven years worth of photos? Or is there an easy way to transfer?
Funny you should say that, +Nicholas Moore ...

Zero intervention, migrates over, immediately able to be shared at your leisure by album or individually on G+.

You're welcome.

(My Flickr feed, on the other hand ... much, much harder.)
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